Second seeded Rafael Nadal isn’t expected to run into too many trouble against Italy’s Matteo Berrettini when the two of them face off in the 2019 US Open semi-final but the discrepancy in the pedigree of the two players also allows us an interesting insight into some of the markets available. Latest Rafael Nadal v Matteo Berrettini predictions & US Open tips and picks have been placed below.
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Rafael Nadal v Matteo Berrettini Preview:
Nadal was the second favourite going into this year’s US Open but the Novak Djokovic injury, even before he was knocked out by Stan Wawrinka, had shortened the Spaniard’s odds. And when Djokovic went out, there was no doubting Nadal was the favourite.
Now that Roger Federer’s also bowed out, bookmakers are offering a mere 3/10 for a Nadal title win. Not much to be made over there. And when one looks at this match in specific, we have Nadal starting out at 1/16 to make the final, as opposed to 12/1 for a Berrettini victory.
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Change the market to the games handicap, and it changes the equation slightly to something worth considering. Now Nadal was stretched to an extent by David Schwartzman, with the Argentine making the second seed run around the court and coming back from near improbably positions at times.
Berrettini is a first-timer and it might be tougher for him, especially having played a five-setter against Gael Monfils which is why Nadal should win the games handicap even at a minus eight. Just to put things in perspective, money on Nadal minus nine would have been a winner in his last round despite the obvious close nature of the fight.
A games handicap of Nadal minus eight is at 19/20 and worth a punt.
A straight-set win for Nadal also looks a near certainty but that less risky option is 4/7 to happen, so if that’s something you are looking for, it’s also what you can opt for.
Nadal v Berrettini Tip: Games Handicap Nadal -8: 19/20 (888Sport)
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